Huge Pistachio crop and late snow: good prospects for 2015

1619

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IMG_1581supplied by Denis Ketabi, The Pistachio Company, Jebel Ali/Dubai

The Iranian pistachio exports amounted to 171 118 t between April 21, and February 15, 2015 (11 months) 15 000 t are about to be shipped until end of the Iranian year (Nowrooz March 20).
Exports over twelve months total 186 000 t, out of which 44 150 t were shipped from April till September 2014 (second half of 2013 crop year).

From harvest 2014 till now, 152 000 t were exported, of which 10 000 t of kernels (this number includes 10 000 t shell adjustment).
This is in comparison with 83 000 t shipped for the same period of 2014 crop year, (83% increase), or in comparison with 101 826 t (49% more) during the 2013 crop year, or with 85 468 t during 2012 crop year (+77%). Domestic annual consumption estimate based on previous crop is 28 000 t.

Total shipments to date are 180,000 t

The 2014 crop was at 245 000 t, right in our target published May 2014.
Shrink at process was max. 3%, which brought the net marketable crop to 237 000 t.
Total unsold inventory up to end of March is 57 000 t, whereas 
unsalable inventory is considered to be at 20 000 t .These are small quantities of products sitting in growers warehouses which cannot be used to make a shipment. The available maketable inventory stands at 37,000 t. Total shipments for the same period of April to September was 44 000 t for 2013 crop year, 31 000 t for 2012, and 27 000 tons for 2011.

Sufficient inventory until 2015 crop is due in

Therefore Iran is expected to have sufficient inventory to reach next crop despite record exports.
We expect total shipment for 2014 crop year to reach 215 000 t, which would be the record export figure in history after 202,000 t in the 2007 crop year.

The 2015 crop potential

After a dry and warm winter beginning, the second part of the winter has been very favorable to set a good 2015 crop.
Kerman, Zarand and Yazd look very good, and
Sirjan as well as Khorassan look good.

Rafsanjan ist looking forward to an average
start up. A first “guesstimate” is in the are of 180,000 to 220,000 t.

There quite a substantial snow pack in Kerman state March 10-12, up to 70 cm in high hills and 30 cm in lower parts. This is a very rare event so late in the winter.
These conditions are very favorable to set a good crop as the trees are still within dormancy. At the same time it improves water level in low depth reservoirs
 and destroys most pests and reduces fungus risks like aflatoxins. Very cold nights during snow melt help in braking the dry land and aerate the soil.
Third advantage:it adds to the dormancy period after the large previous crop.
 and delays trees from awakening by about two weeks. Therefore it reduces time frame of potential frost damage during bloom, which historically is the first half of April, even if some risk persists until beginning of May.

 

 

 


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